Notes & essays
Posts
Short essays on fractal theory, extreme value statistics, and the recurring places where standard methods quietly stop working.
- 9 June 2026
When no single study has the answer
Meta-analysis averages studies. Bareinboim and Pearl show how to fuse experiments across populations — and why the right answer sometimes lives in no single study at all.
Causal InferenceTransportabilityMeta-analysis - 6 June 2026
A recommender is an intervention
A propensity score can pass every backtest and still break in production — because the model changes the data it was trained on.
Causal InferenceRecommendersProduction ML - 28 May 2026
Why this site exists
A short note on what to expect here — and the philosophy that shapes every model I ship.
MetaPhilosophy